（原文发表于1月3日，作者为CBS体育的Sam Quinn，文章内容不代表译者观点）
在2020年11月11日，我曾尝试预测未来10年的NBA总冠军归属，其中一些判断是正确的。比如独行侠、字母哥带领雄鹿夺冠、湖人在2021年赢得总冠军，以及鹈鹕和76人各自获得一冠等。而我的名单中也包括了勇士队以及选中埃莫尼-贝茨的球队。
尽管我对雄鹿和勇士的预判没有问题，但有些其他预测却未如愿，比如独行侠王朝尚未开启，而关于“锡安最健康赛季”的说法仍需时间来验证。不过，“选中埃莫尼-贝茨”的球队骑士可能会意外成真，因为虽然他本赛季出场时间有限，但严格来说，他已经成为骑士的一员，并且他们很可能争取到这个赛季的总冠军！
总体来看，我错误的预测占据大多数，这其实也是情理之中的事情。展望整整十年的未来确实有其难度，不过现在我们已走过2020年代的一半。我或许无法准确把握整个十年，但五年内的发展趋势还是可以分析出来。因此，在接下来的部分里，我将针对未来五年的NBA进程进行分类讨论，包括谁将在此期间赢得总冠军与MVP奖项，同时还会提出更具创意性的看法，以便让大家清晰了解职业篮球发展的方向。
谁将赢得未来五年的NBA总冠军？
2025年 NBA 总冠军：克利夫兰骑士
过去六个赛季，我们见证了六支不同团队捧起奖杯。本以为掘金上个赛季稳操胜券，却没想到结果并非如此。今年凯尔特人的表现同样值得期待。但从历史经验来看，卫冕过程往往伴随着疲惫，因此目前显然雷霆与骑士是两大热门。在这方面我稍微倾向于拥有更多比赛经验的小米切尔。至于雷霆，他们是否能在交易截止日前做出重大升级还有待观察；而现阶段看来，骑士似乎能够保持主场优势。所以，就算答案之间差别不大，我依旧认为属于騎兵们的是2025这一年度。
2026 年 NBA 总冠军：俄克拉荷马雷霆
27 年 NBA 决战 - OKC 雷霆
没错 ， 我继续相信 雷电 在联盟近几年 卫冕乏力 的情况下 会打破这种局面 。 五年来 有条不紊 地重建 而又 不犯 大 错 是造成这样的原因 。 和近年来其它 队伍相比 , 雷鸣 更容易避开 连续卫冕陷阱 ; 拥有足够多 草案权 、 合约灵活性 来补强失落球员 或替代受伤人员 。 球队年轻 并致力 控制 出场 时间 理论上避免伤病 . 管理层背景几乎完美可资信赖, 因此相较很多 难免 自毁前途 的 冠军团体 ( 比如20年前 湖人 ) 相比较而言 同时实现稳定统治能力就十分重要.
< p >< strong >28 Year MBA Champs: Orlando Magic
The question arises why not Thunder? Winning consecutive championships only becomes harder as time goes on; hence the rarity of three-peats. Moreover, financial realities mean that Holmgren and Jalen Williams will likely be starting their max contracts in '26-'27 season making roster stability more challenging thereafter. The likes of Fultz or Hartenstein might also move on by then leaving holes to fill which is where flexibility comes into play for this team’s future plans if cuts are necessary now towards another competitive window later down line.< / p ><
You may expect other teams overtaking thunder but let me redirect attention onto a lesser noticed candidate here at least until they arrive there first! By that point Paolo Banchero enters his prime years around age twenty-five alongside Franz Wagner who’ll hit six with plenty experience gained since rookie seasons together unlocking dynamic lineup possibilities ahead while improving defensive culture seen already albeit plagued injuries yielding good efficiency thus far all things considered given current standings across league overall performance metrics leading averages accordingly!
Finally it seems like Wembanyama's crowning moment arrives yet you wonder what took so long right? Truthfully speaking though isn’t actually too distant away either despite seeming quite far off presently because when we reach ’29 he would just have turned twenty five being compared similarly against greats such as James & Jordan both winning theirs respectively upon turning Twenty-Seven milestone however much larger potential remains untapped still awaiting proper development over course journey undertaken through carefully constructed rebuilding efforts initiated post draft selection reflecting patience exhibited throughout organization without rushing matters unnecessarily toward immediate success instead prioritizing building foundational pieces cumulatively before going full throttle aiming championship aspirations later further down road once everything falls perfectly aligned altogether finally culminating therein ultimately within next decade timeline period itself potentially unfolding along these lines !& nbsp;
谁 将 赢 得 接下来 五 年 Mvp 奖 项 ?
注意一点 ： MVP 历史 上 存在 明 确年龄区间，自2011年以来每位获奖者均介于24 至28岁之间。这点非常关键但并不是绝对遵循标准，所以以下就是对于 联盟 内 下 一步 向 前 演变过程中 所推测出的候选人格。
&nb sp ;25 常规赛事 mvp - Shea Gildas Alexander
Yokic 与 Giannis 凭借着超越年龄范围取得成功，可否再攀高峰吗当然可以。然而亚历山大的发展势头愈发明显，如众所周知作为年轻球员面对漫长常规賽挑战呈现良好态势，有效帮助团队最终收官西部第一名成绩同时比主要竞争者少了一些参战次数因故缺席65 场限制资格所以数据表现实则优异。
H3>MVP Predictions Over Next Five Years:
* * *
**'23 Regular Season MVP:** Nikola Jokic **`Jokic has been dominant recently from mid-range shots creating separation off ball screens resulting in huge offensive numbers following up last year's conference finals run."`
#### `He continues delivering elite production elevating surrounding teammates’ confidence levels.` **
### **`This should lead Nuggets back deep playoff push again.`**
***Note:`If any injury occurs could derail entire campaign`.***
##### ***However healthy expectations remain high nonetheless.* *
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The rest follows suit discussing various players expected impacts projected upcoming seasons including breakdown comparisons between them previous similar breakout candidates influencing trajectories respective franchises during pivotal moments worth noting...
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Lastly I wish emphasize importance keeping track closely monitoring changes evolving constantly landscape shapes tendencies movements shifting narratives altering perceptions regarding how fans view sports entertainment industry alike especially focusing strictly basketball related aspects alone!
